Did the Trump administration deliver record-low crime and $472 billion in New York?

New York City recorded the lowest crime ever recorded.12

“Lowest crime in NYC and New York ever recorded”

For New York City the record claim holds for the measures the NYPD tracks and publishes. The department reported 203 murders, 489 shooting incidents and 594 shooting victims in the first nine months of 2026, each a record low for that period, with murders down about 20% from 253 a year earlier. That is a primary official dataset, corroborated by local reporting. The claim weakens when it extends to New York State: the graphic gives no state-level indicator or time period, and the state does not publish a single combined 'crime' index, so a statewide 'lowest ever recorded' cannot be verified as written. The confidence is moderate rather than high because the city half is solid and the state half is unsupported, not because the city data is in doubt.

Still open: No statewide crime index supports the broader 'New York' wording.

Murders in New York State fell 48%.111

“48% drop in murders in New York State”

The 48% figure exists, but it belongs to a different thing than the graphic implies. It comes from New York State's own Gun Involved Violence Elimination (GIVE) programme, which covers 28 participating police departments and measured January to May 2026. That is a state-run programme's result over part of a year, not a statewide murder rate and not a federal achievement. The NYPD's citywide data, by contrast, shows murders down roughly 20% year to date. The gap between 48% and 20% is the tell: a reader is meant to see the larger number and credit the administration. The decisive evidence is the X Community Note and HuffPost's reporting spelling out the GIVE programme's scope, set against the NYPD's own citywide figure. The graphic gives no period and no source, which is what allows a programme statistic to stand in for a statewide one.

New York City recorded the fewest shootings and shooting victims in its history.12

“Fewest shootings and shooting victims recorded in NYC history”

This is the claim the graphic gets cleanly right. NYPD data released in October 2026 records 489 shooting incidents and 594 shooting victims in the first nine months of the year, both record lows for that span, as reported by the department and by local outlet ABC7. The figure is a primary official statistic from the agency that compiles it, independently repeated by a news outlet, and nothing in our searches contradicted it. The record applies to the January-to-September period rather than a full calendar year, which is how the department itself frames it. High confidence here rests on a single authoritative dataset that is published, dated and reproducible — the opposite of the unsourced numbers elsewhere on the same graphic.

The administration quadrupled the SALT deduction cap.910

“Quadrupled the SALT deduction cap”

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, enacted in July 2025, raised the state and local tax deduction cap from $10,000 to $40,000 for tax year 2025 — a quadrupling, as both a congressional office and the National Association of REALTORS describe it. That makes the headline number accurate. The graphic omits two conditions that matter to anyone estimating their own benefit: the cap phases down by 30% of modified adjusted gross income above $500,000, and it reverts to $10,000 in 2030. A primary congressional statement and an industry explainer independently agree on both the increase and the caveats. High confidence because the legislation is a matter of public record, not an estimate; the only issue is that the graphic stops at the favourable half of the story.

The administration protected 337,000 jobs and preserved $32 billion in wages.

“337,000 jobs protected and $32 billion in wages preserved”

The graphic gives no period, no method and no source for either number, and our searches found no federal or New York dataset that matches them. The phrasing appears to echo the administration's own 'Working Families Tax Cut' messaging rather than an independently published statistic, which would make it a communications figure rather than a measured outcome. Without a defined baseline — protected compared with what, over what period — the claim cannot be tested even in principle. This is the weakest kind of number on the graphic: specific enough to sound researched, vague enough to resist checking. We mark it unverifiable rather than false because we cannot show the figure is wrong, only that nothing published supports it.

Still open: What period, baseline and methodology the figures refer to.

The average tax refund is $3,843.

“$3,843 average tax refund”

No tax year, geography or source accompanies the $3,843 figure, and we found no IRS or New York publication matching it as a New York-specific average refund. The IRS publishes average refunds nationally, not as a New York outcome of a particular administration's policy, so the figure as framed has no obvious published home. A precise dollar amount creates an impression of administrative record-keeping, but precision is not the same as provenance. We could neither confirm nor refute the number, so it stays unverifiable. Readers should treat it as an assertion until the graphic or its publisher supplies the tax year and the dataset behind it.

Still open: Which tax year and which dataset the figure comes from.

The administration halted the flow of illegal aliens to New York.

“Halted the flow of illegal aliens to New York”

There is a real trend underneath this: southern border apprehensions fell sharply in 2025 and stayed low, and New York City's shelter intake from buses of migrants dropped steeply. But 'halted the flow' is an absolute, and the graphic supplies no New York-specific data to support the absolute. A sharp decline and a halt are different claims, and only the first is documented. Because the graphic itself offers nothing checkable here, the verdict rests on the general trend rather than on evidence tied to the post, which is why confidence is low. The honest reading is that migration pressure eased markedly while the word 'halted' overstates what any published figure shows.

Still open: What New York-specific measure, if any, the claim is based on.

The administration removed '5+ worst of the worst criminal illegal aliens'.

“Removed 5+ worst of the worst criminal illegal aliens”

'5+' is a threshold so low it would be met by almost any week of national immigration enforcement, and the graphic gives no names, dates, agency records or New York connection. Thousands of removals occur nationally, so a bare minimum of five tells a reader nothing about scale or about New York. The phrase 'worst of the worst' is a characterisation, not a category that can be checked against records. With no operation, agency or period identified, there is nothing to verify. We mark it unverifiable and note the rhetorical move: a number small enough to be trivially true, stated in language that invites a much larger inference.

Still open: Which agency operation, if any, the line refers to.