Did Trump say "the inflation is solved" on Fox & Friends on Election Day 2026?

"The inflation is solved... everything is going good."13

“"The inflation is solved" … "everything is going good"”

Here the post's assertion and the underlying statement come apart, and the official numbers decide it. The Bureau of Labor Statistics, cited through Newsweek's report and the New York Times, put annual consumer price inflation at 3.7 percent in the twelve months to September 2026. That is up from 3.4 percent in August — the rate was rising, not falling to zero. Energy prices were up 20.4 percent year-on-year and gasoline up 34.2 percent, driven by the war with Iran. The Times also notes inflation has accelerated over high energy costs. So "solved" is not a matter of interpretation or spin: inflation was running well above target and had ticked upward the previous month. The two sources here are strong in different ways. The BLS figure is primary statistical data, the kind of number that is not really arguable. The Times is a newspaper with a documented centre-left rating from AllSides, which is a reason to read its framing with care — but it is reporting a government statistic, not offering an opinion, and the number is checkable independently.

"Oil came down $10, a record yesterday."46

“"oil came down $10 a record yesterday, dropped $10"”

This is the kind of statement that is half right in a way that makes the whole thing feel true. The price move really happened. Brent fell about $7.23 a barrel on Monday 2 November 2026, according to Investing.com, and West Texas Intermediate dropped from near $103 to roughly $96 — so a fall in the $7 to $10 range is broadly accurate, and the post's transcript rendering of "came down $10" reflects that. The problem is the word "record." The Hill checked the claim and found larger one-day falls in recent memory: during the 2020 pandemic crash, oil fell by far more than $10 in a session, briefly touching about negative $38 a barrel. So the direction and rough size are right and the superlative is wrong. Investing.com also records that attacks on Gulf shipping continued, with at least ten incidents since 31 October — relevant context for the separate "total control" remark, and a reminder that a falling price does not by itself mean a calm market. We rate this PARTLY_TRUE at moderate confidence because the size of the move is reported as approximate and because the two sources describe the market rather than adjudicate the quote.

Still open: Exact intraday settlement figures for 2 November 2026 differ by benchmark; the "$10" figure is an approximation.

"There's 11,888 murders" — people released from jails in Congo, South America and Asia poured into the United States because of the Biden administration.5

“"There's 11,888 murders, people from other jails."”

The number is real; what it is attached to is not. According to Mediaite's account of CNN fact-checker Daniel Dale's analysis, "11,888" is a recurring distortion of federal immigration data. The figure traces to a 2024 ICE letter stating that 13,099 non-citizens convicted of homicide were not in ICE detention as of July 2024. That dataset spans roughly four decades — it includes people who entered during Trump's first term, not only under Biden — and it includes people convicted after arriving in the United States, and people who were in jail serving sentences at the time. Dale called the attribution a "wild distortion of federal data." The broader picture the quote paints — that foreign governments emptied their prisons and sent the inmates to the US — has no substantiating evidence in the record we examined. This matters for how a reader weighs the clip: a speech containing one checkable number that has been publicly corrected many times is a speech where confident-sounding statistics should be treated as claims to verify, not facts to absorb.

"The Hormuz Strait, we have total control of it with the Navy blockade" on Iran.26

“"the home straight, we have total control of it with the Navy blockade"”

Two halves, two different answers. The blockade is a real thing: AFP's report of the same interview confirms Trump tied the remark to a Navy blockade on Iran, and Investing.com's market coverage describes a Hormuz risk premium — the extra cost traders add when shipping in the strait may be disrupted. So the US naval presence and the disruption to strait shipping are documented. "Total control" is where it slips. Investing.com records that attacks on Gulf shipping continued, with at least ten incidents reported since 31 October, and the report's framing is about diplomacy reducing risk rather than the risk being eliminated. The same source notes repeated disruption to Strait of Hormuz shipping. A blockade that coexists with continuing attacks on shipping is not total control in any ordinary sense. Confidence is moderate rather than high because the sources address market and shipping conditions, not a formal military assessment of who controls the waterway, and because the post's own transcript renders "Hormuz" as "home straight" — a transcription error rather than a substantive one, but a reminder that we are working from captions as well as audio.

Still open: No formal military statement on the status of the Strait of Hormuz was available to us.